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	<title>Comments on: Quick Notes: Debunking The PLF Volume Argument for HLVs</title>
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	<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/</link>
	<description>Random Musings from the Warped Minds of Jonathan Goff, Ken Murphy, John Hare, and Kirk Sorensen</description>
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		<title>By: Andrew Swallow</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/comment-page-1/#comment-4948</link>
		<dc:creator>Andrew Swallow</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2009 02:50:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=1043#comment-4948</guid>
		<description>The lunar Orion + Ares I is probably a never fly combination.  Run them for a few more years and the Shuttle will have gone, taking the launch and repair jobs with it.  The restrictions these jobs place on NASA will also have gone.  There are better ways of removing the restrictions but they require management rather than being automatic.

If you want a propellant depot and space tug architecture get small ones operating and allow NASA to come to you.  The DoD may be willing to pay for some of this.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The lunar Orion + Ares I is probably a never fly combination.  Run them for a few more years and the Shuttle will have gone, taking the launch and repair jobs with it.  The restrictions these jobs place on NASA will also have gone.  There are better ways of removing the restrictions but they require management rather than being automatic.</p>
<p>If you want a propellant depot and space tug architecture get small ones operating and allow NASA to come to you.  The DoD may be willing to pay for some of this.</p>
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		<title>By: Fred Willett</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/comment-page-1/#comment-4943</link>
		<dc:creator>Fred Willett</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 10:31:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=1043#comment-4943</guid>
		<description>It ought not to be about jobs in that infrastructure per the original vision; Depots, tug, reusable lunar lander etc could generate a lot of jobs plus money freed up from an overly expensive launch architecture could free up $$$ and jobs to go into more exploration/science/R&amp;D.
It&#039;s just that NASA seems fixated on the Ares i,V as the only way to keep jobs and I can&#039;t see anything that will change that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It ought not to be about jobs in that infrastructure per the original vision; Depots, tug, reusable lunar lander etc could generate a lot of jobs plus money freed up from an overly expensive launch architecture could free up $$$ and jobs to go into more exploration/science/R&amp;D.<br />
It&#8217;s just that NASA seems fixated on the Ares i,V as the only way to keep jobs and I can&#8217;t see anything that will change that.</p>
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		<title>By: Martijn Meijering</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/comment-page-1/#comment-4941</link>
		<dc:creator>Martijn Meijering</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 08:59:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=1043#comment-4941</guid>
		<description>I agree about the jobs issue, although I wonder to what degree someone like senator Nelson cares about people losing their jobs compared to net job losses or even just the amount of federal money spent in Florida.

Shuttle extension and building new pads for Atlas and Delta (preferably at LC-39 to make return of the shuttle or an SDLV more difficult) would be a good way to direct pork to Florida in the short term. The same goes for increasing Orion&#039;s budget, accelerating work on Altair and work on new hardware, say - my favourite - a hypergolics depot. COTS-D would work in the slightly longer term.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I agree about the jobs issue, although I wonder to what degree someone like senator Nelson cares about people losing their jobs compared to net job losses or even just the amount of federal money spent in Florida.</p>
<p>Shuttle extension and building new pads for Atlas and Delta (preferably at LC-39 to make return of the shuttle or an SDLV more difficult) would be a good way to direct pork to Florida in the short term. The same goes for increasing Orion&#8217;s budget, accelerating work on Altair and work on new hardware, say &#8211; my favourite &#8211; a hypergolics depot. COTS-D would work in the slightly longer term.</p>
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		<title>By: kert</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/comment-page-1/#comment-4940</link>
		<dc:creator>kert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 08:54:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=1043#comment-4940</guid>
		<description>Jon has probably seen this, as he frequents the NSF forums, but here goes anyway:
http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=17564.0

&lt;i&gt;However, they are sufficient to show that an L2 rendezvous mission can be accomplished with two launches of a vehicle capable of sending 25 tonnes to TLI. This is less than half the capacity of the baseline Ares V, and opens up a range of more cost-effective launch vehicle options.&lt;/i&gt;

Well written letter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jon has probably seen this, as he frequents the NSF forums, but here goes anyway:<br />
<a href="http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=17564.0" rel="nofollow">http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=17564.0</a></p>
<p><i>However, they are sufficient to show that an L2 rendezvous mission can be accomplished with two launches of a vehicle capable of sending 25 tonnes to TLI. This is less than half the capacity of the baseline Ares V, and opens up a range of more cost-effective launch vehicle options.</i></p>
<p>Well written letter.</p>
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		<title>By: Fred Willett</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/comment-page-1/#comment-4939</link>
		<dc:creator>Fred Willett</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 04:45:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=1043#comment-4939</guid>
		<description>The elephant in the room with the Augustine panel is the jobs currently supporting the shuttle. Jobs that will go with any sensible architecture.
Atlas V, Delta IV, Falcon 9, Taurus II all have their own work forces.
making any of these a prime LV for NASA dooms most of the shuttle workforce.
Ares 1,V is designed to keep as much of the shuttle workforce in place as  possible. Mike admitted as much. 
That inevitably means that Ares I,V is an expensive program as costs relate very closely to jobs.
Augustine&#039;s problem is that budgets are going to be tight going forward due to the economy. But to do the sensible thing and move to an existing (or soon to be existing) EELV would be to doom Ares 1,V. Doom shuttle jobs, upset loads of senators and congressmen (and women).
Logic has nothing to do with it. It&#039;s all about the elephant.
And it&#039;s pretty big.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The elephant in the room with the Augustine panel is the jobs currently supporting the shuttle. Jobs that will go with any sensible architecture.<br />
Atlas V, Delta IV, Falcon 9, Taurus II all have their own work forces.<br />
making any of these a prime LV for NASA dooms most of the shuttle workforce.<br />
Ares 1,V is designed to keep as much of the shuttle workforce in place as  possible. Mike admitted as much.<br />
That inevitably means that Ares I,V is an expensive program as costs relate very closely to jobs.<br />
Augustine&#8217;s problem is that budgets are going to be tight going forward due to the economy. But to do the sensible thing and move to an existing (or soon to be existing) EELV would be to doom Ares 1,V. Doom shuttle jobs, upset loads of senators and congressmen (and women).<br />
Logic has nothing to do with it. It&#8217;s all about the elephant.<br />
And it&#8217;s pretty big.</p>
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		<title>By: Rick Boozer</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/comment-page-1/#comment-4935</link>
		<dc:creator>Rick Boozer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Jun 2009 22:29:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=1043#comment-4935</guid>
		<description>Jon,
Proponents of DIRECT that I know have thrown up the argument to me about the diameter restrictions of EELVs requiring HLVs for beyond Earth orbit missions.  Now I can send them to this web page.

I am really looking forward to reading your article about how to use dual-launched EELVs for manned missions, when you are able get around to it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jon,<br />
Proponents of DIRECT that I know have thrown up the argument to me about the diameter restrictions of EELVs requiring HLVs for beyond Earth orbit missions.  Now I can send them to this web page.</p>
<p>I am really looking forward to reading your article about how to use dual-launched EELVs for manned missions, when you are able get around to it.</p>
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		<title>By: Martijn Meijering</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/comment-page-1/#comment-4931</link>
		<dc:creator>Martijn Meijering</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Jun 2009 14:22:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=1043#comment-4931</guid>
		<description>I wasn&#039;t aware that LOX would be that easy. If that&#039;s really the case, then kerolox sounds very interesting. Mixing in some silane with the hydrocarbons might be enough to get back hypergolicity, I vaguely remember reading something to that effect. Hypergolicity is very nice for reuse and reliability.

You could also use higher silanes instead of hydrocarbons, which are supposed to be less toxic than MMH and have slightly better Isp and combustion properties than the corresponding hydrocarbons. They also have better ISRU potential.

In the short run, I would still prefer MMH/NTO since that&#039;s what&#039;s being planned for Orion and Altair and I would like both to be refuelable. Propellant gels and metal loading also decrease handling risks and improve Isp and ISRU potential. Toxicity and low Isp with MMH/NTO is clearly an issue, but the more I read about it, the more it appears there are good ways to mitigate that.

And there&#039;s also the issue of reusability. I think that for the near term LOX/LH2 is going to be much harder to make reusable than MMH/NTO which has been used and reused for ages with OMS. I have no idea how difficult it would be to make kerolox engines that are reusable &lt;i&gt;in space&lt;/i&gt;.

On UDMH/MMH/hydrazine and NTO/MON I&#039;m told by knowledgeable sources that the required modifications are minimal.

Of course there&#039;s also HAN and other green propellants. If you can find a propellant that is dense, hypergolic, completely non-cryogenic and non-toxic that would be great. Higher silanes + H2O2 might be that combinations, especially with metal loading. For certain applications high up in the Earth&#039;s gravity well, or other circumstances where delta-v&#039;s are small you may not need very high Isp.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I wasn&#8217;t aware that LOX would be that easy. If that&#8217;s really the case, then kerolox sounds very interesting. Mixing in some silane with the hydrocarbons might be enough to get back hypergolicity, I vaguely remember reading something to that effect. Hypergolicity is very nice for reuse and reliability.</p>
<p>You could also use higher silanes instead of hydrocarbons, which are supposed to be less toxic than MMH and have slightly better Isp and combustion properties than the corresponding hydrocarbons. They also have better ISRU potential.</p>
<p>In the short run, I would still prefer MMH/NTO since that&#8217;s what&#8217;s being planned for Orion and Altair and I would like both to be refuelable. Propellant gels and metal loading also decrease handling risks and improve Isp and ISRU potential. Toxicity and low Isp with MMH/NTO is clearly an issue, but the more I read about it, the more it appears there are good ways to mitigate that.</p>
<p>And there&#8217;s also the issue of reusability. I think that for the near term LOX/LH2 is going to be much harder to make reusable than MMH/NTO which has been used and reused for ages with OMS. I have no idea how difficult it would be to make kerolox engines that are reusable <i>in space</i>.</p>
<p>On UDMH/MMH/hydrazine and NTO/MON I&#8217;m told by knowledgeable sources that the required modifications are minimal.</p>
<p>Of course there&#8217;s also HAN and other green propellants. If you can find a propellant that is dense, hypergolic, completely non-cryogenic and non-toxic that would be great. Higher silanes + H2O2 might be that combinations, especially with metal loading. For certain applications high up in the Earth&#8217;s gravity well, or other circumstances where delta-v&#8217;s are small you may not need very high Isp.</p>
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		<title>By: Chris</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/comment-page-1/#comment-4929</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Jun 2009 07:24:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=1043#comment-4929</guid>
		<description>LH2 isn&#039;t storable, but LOX, methane and other mild cryogens are plenty storable for an almost infinite duration with a cryocooler and a minimum of insulation. Going with mild cryogens means an extra 30s isp and low cost ground handling compared to hypergolics. 

There is a cost trade, between low complexity hypergols and existing engines, and moderate complexity cryo storage and a billion dollar engine development program that needs to be made. If we are launching hundreds of rockets with fuel for a lunar program, and particularly if we are pulling that fuel using high isp electric tug to lunar orbit, at some point going with more complex mild cryogens like lox/methane or lox/propane may make sense.

If we are going with hypergolics we most certainly should be going with what the russians use, UDMH and N2O4, because we can take fuel transfer hardware, fuel lines, valves, engines, etc used with zvezda, soyuz and progress straight off the shelf with zero development.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>LH2 isn&#8217;t storable, but LOX, methane and other mild cryogens are plenty storable for an almost infinite duration with a cryocooler and a minimum of insulation. Going with mild cryogens means an extra 30s isp and low cost ground handling compared to hypergolics. </p>
<p>There is a cost trade, between low complexity hypergols and existing engines, and moderate complexity cryo storage and a billion dollar engine development program that needs to be made. If we are launching hundreds of rockets with fuel for a lunar program, and particularly if we are pulling that fuel using high isp electric tug to lunar orbit, at some point going with more complex mild cryogens like lox/methane or lox/propane may make sense.</p>
<p>If we are going with hypergolics we most certainly should be going with what the russians use, UDMH and N2O4, because we can take fuel transfer hardware, fuel lines, valves, engines, etc used with zvezda, soyuz and progress straight off the shelf with zero development.</p>
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		<title>By: Martijn Meijering</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/comment-page-1/#comment-4913</link>
		<dc:creator>Martijn Meijering</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2009 20:27:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=1043#comment-4913</guid>
		<description>Shannon also used the Altair volume argument in his Not-Shuttle-C presentation to the Augustine commission yesterday.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Shannon also used the Altair volume argument in his Not-Shuttle-C presentation to the Augustine commission yesterday.</p>
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		<title>By: Pete</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2009/06/quick-notes-debunking-the-plf-volume-argument-for-hlvs/comment-page-1/#comment-4912</link>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2009 19:32:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=1043#comment-4912</guid>
		<description>Since it will be some time before any of this happens anyway...

So apparently there is this ~4kW/kg thin film solar suggested for solar power satellites. This could also make some pretty effective solar powered high ISP stages using far less of a perhaps easier to store propellant. This does not have the power density to get to and from the lunar surface - though a hybrid system might (perhaps one reusable stage all the way there and back to LEO). 

Will higher ISP solar powered systems be possible by the time propellant depots arrive? Or by the time anyone gets back to the moon? Should they be developed and planned on now?

Pete.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Since it will be some time before any of this happens anyway&#8230;</p>
<p>So apparently there is this ~4kW/kg thin film solar suggested for solar power satellites. This could also make some pretty effective solar powered high ISP stages using far less of a perhaps easier to store propellant. This does not have the power density to get to and from the lunar surface &#8211; though a hybrid system might (perhaps one reusable stage all the way there and back to LEO). </p>
<p>Will higher ISP solar powered systems be possible by the time propellant depots arrive? Or by the time anyone gets back to the moon? Should they be developed and planned on now?</p>
<p>Pete.</p>
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