<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Lunar Depot-Enabled Multi-Sortie Missions Part II: Centaur-Derived Landers</title>
	<atom:link href="http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/</link>
	<description>Random Musings from the Warped Minds of Jonathan Goff, Ken Murphy, John Hare, and Kirk Sorensen</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 21:26:05 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1</generator>
	<item>
		<title>By: Jonathan Goff</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/comment-page-1/#comment-4151</link>
		<dc:creator>Jonathan Goff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Jan 2009 18:12:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=841#comment-4151</guid>
		<description>Chuck,
It isn&#039;t crazy, but the benefit might not be as much as it seems.  The Centaur tanks themselves weigh less than 1 ton, though the lander tanks might be heavier.  The big problem though is that as soon as you do that, you now have to outfit extra tanks in zero-G, and you have to be shipping a decent amount of hardware along for each mission.

What I could see making sense though is adding drop tanks for bigger missions.  Like say you want to land a really big payload, you add some extra drop tanks that you leave behind on the surface.   Not sure though.  Would have to think about it.

~Jon</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Chuck,<br />
It isn&#8217;t crazy, but the benefit might not be as much as it seems.  The Centaur tanks themselves weigh less than 1 ton, though the lander tanks might be heavier.  The big problem though is that as soon as you do that, you now have to outfit extra tanks in zero-G, and you have to be shipping a decent amount of hardware along for each mission.</p>
<p>What I could see making sense though is adding drop tanks for bigger missions.  Like say you want to land a really big payload, you add some extra drop tanks that you leave behind on the surface.   Not sure though.  Would have to think about it.</p>
<p>~Jon</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Chuck2200</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/comment-page-1/#comment-4150</link>
		<dc:creator>Chuck2200</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Jan 2009 17:57:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=841#comment-4150</guid>
		<description>Jon;
Have you considered the possible use of drop tanks on the lander? You are correct that the numbers support the performance of the single stage concept, but that could be bettered if a significant percentage of the descent propellant was housed in tanks that the crew detached and left behind on the surface. This eliminates the mass of unused tankage during the ascent.
Chuck</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jon;<br />
Have you considered the possible use of drop tanks on the lander? You are correct that the numbers support the performance of the single stage concept, but that could be bettered if a significant percentage of the descent propellant was housed in tanks that the crew detached and left behind on the surface. This eliminates the mass of unused tankage during the ascent.<br />
Chuck</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Brad</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/comment-page-1/#comment-3890</link>
		<dc:creator>Brad</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Dec 2008 11:16:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=841#comment-3890</guid>
		<description>Hi Jon,

Re: reusable lander ascent propellant

I have just carefully re-read the LM documents, and it seems to support my conclusions about ascent propulsion.  Storable propellants are a better choice for ascent propulsion. 

First off the penalty of storable propellants for short missions isn&#039;t very great.  Figure 1 of the &quot;Lunar Lander Configurations...&quot; document shows little mass penalty for storable propellant ascent propulsion.  For a two stage system (presumably of no more than 14 day mission duration) the penalty is about 12% (45 tons compared to 40 tons).  And that penalty gains the reliability and finer flight control that storable propellants provides, important qualities, even more so for a manned lander.

Secondly the penalty for long-term storage of cryogenic propellants is spelled out pretty convincingly.   Even if all the proposed boil-off mitigation systems work as advertised the propellant loss over six months is 18% (0.1% per day).  In the same document the description of the all-cryogenic propellant &quot;Concept 3: reusable single-stage lander&quot; states such a lander is  likely limited to shorter mission durations.

It seems to me the problem with an all-cryogenic propellant reusable manned lander is it falls into a gap between needs and capabilities.  The commitment to a lunar depot infrastructure that the reusable lander needs implies lunar operations that include a permanent lunar base.  And an all-cryo lander is most capable of sortie missions instead of long duration lunar base crew rotation missions.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Jon,</p>
<p>Re: reusable lander ascent propellant</p>
<p>I have just carefully re-read the LM documents, and it seems to support my conclusions about ascent propulsion.  Storable propellants are a better choice for ascent propulsion. </p>
<p>First off the penalty of storable propellants for short missions isn&#8217;t very great.  Figure 1 of the &#8220;Lunar Lander Configurations&#8230;&#8221; document shows little mass penalty for storable propellant ascent propulsion.  For a two stage system (presumably of no more than 14 day mission duration) the penalty is about 12% (45 tons compared to 40 tons).  And that penalty gains the reliability and finer flight control that storable propellants provides, important qualities, even more so for a manned lander.</p>
<p>Secondly the penalty for long-term storage of cryogenic propellants is spelled out pretty convincingly.   Even if all the proposed boil-off mitigation systems work as advertised the propellant loss over six months is 18% (0.1% per day).  In the same document the description of the all-cryogenic propellant &#8220;Concept 3: reusable single-stage lander&#8221; states such a lander is  likely limited to shorter mission durations.</p>
<p>It seems to me the problem with an all-cryogenic propellant reusable manned lander is it falls into a gap between needs and capabilities.  The commitment to a lunar depot infrastructure that the reusable lander needs implies lunar operations that include a permanent lunar base.  And an all-cryo lander is most capable of sortie missions instead of long duration lunar base crew rotation missions.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Exploration Fan</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/comment-page-1/#comment-3884</link>
		<dc:creator>Exploration Fan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Dec 2008 15:02:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=841#comment-3884</guid>
		<description>In the above discussion on delta V&#039;s and lunar performance one is over looking one of the main benefits of the Centaur derived lander concept, granted the focus this thread is on the benefit of a depot not the type of lander.  Centaur&#039;s propulsion system already exists and is flight proven:
- Centaur&#039;s light weight tank set is already in production, although I&#039;m guessing that for the lunar lander the tank walls could be much thinner, further reducing weight.  Altair isn&#039;t even at SRR, so what would its weight really be? Just look at Ares and Orion weight increases to be skeptical of current estimates.
- Centaur&#039;s propellant conditioning is already flight proven.  How does one condition the multi-tank propellants on Altair???
- Centaur&#039;s tank heating is a known.  Altair&#039;s multi-tank design will make tank heating huge.
- Propellant residuals are already proven.  What will be the residuals and differential pull through on Altair.
- Mixture ratio control and propellant mass gauging are already proven.  Once again, Altair&#039;s multi tank design makes this a challenge.
- Centaur&#039;s feed system including chilldown are already known.  The manifolding and long feed line routing of Altair will result in large unknowns and likely much larger masses.
- RL10 conditioning is already proven for Centaur.  The imbedded RL10 on Altair will result in a cold engine that without a heating system agravates RL10 start.

This list can go on and on, but starting with Centaur hugely reduces development risk, system weight, residual mass and uncertainties providing a great efficient foundation for the lander propulsion system.

On the other hand, ULA knows squat about landers, terminal guidance, etc.  I think that it would make a lot of sense for ULA to simply provide the basic propulsion system while NASA or Lockheed turn it into a lander.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the above discussion on delta V&#8217;s and lunar performance one is over looking one of the main benefits of the Centaur derived lander concept, granted the focus this thread is on the benefit of a depot not the type of lander.  Centaur&#8217;s propulsion system already exists and is flight proven:<br />
- Centaur&#8217;s light weight tank set is already in production, although I&#8217;m guessing that for the lunar lander the tank walls could be much thinner, further reducing weight.  Altair isn&#8217;t even at SRR, so what would its weight really be? Just look at Ares and Orion weight increases to be skeptical of current estimates.<br />
- Centaur&#8217;s propellant conditioning is already flight proven.  How does one condition the multi-tank propellants on Altair???<br />
- Centaur&#8217;s tank heating is a known.  Altair&#8217;s multi-tank design will make tank heating huge.<br />
- Propellant residuals are already proven.  What will be the residuals and differential pull through on Altair.<br />
- Mixture ratio control and propellant mass gauging are already proven.  Once again, Altair&#8217;s multi tank design makes this a challenge.<br />
- Centaur&#8217;s feed system including chilldown are already known.  The manifolding and long feed line routing of Altair will result in large unknowns and likely much larger masses.<br />
- RL10 conditioning is already proven for Centaur.  The imbedded RL10 on Altair will result in a cold engine that without a heating system agravates RL10 start.</p>
<p>This list can go on and on, but starting with Centaur hugely reduces development risk, system weight, residual mass and uncertainties providing a great efficient foundation for the lander propulsion system.</p>
<p>On the other hand, ULA knows squat about landers, terminal guidance, etc.  I think that it would make a lot of sense for ULA to simply provide the basic propulsion system while NASA or Lockheed turn it into a lander.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Jonathan Goff</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/comment-page-1/#comment-3857</link>
		<dc:creator>Jonathan Goff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Dec 2008 07:08:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=841#comment-3857</guid>
		<description>Will,
The numbers I&#039;ve been able to find for the LSAM indicate that the LOI burn is about 1100m/s, and the descent orbit insertion/descent/landing delta-V is about 1900m/s.  That would indicate (using 451s again for the Isp) a mass ratio of about 1.97.  That means that of the 55mT, only 27.9mT actually make it to the surface, and of that only 20.5mT is actually cargo.  

If you use a 1900m/s base delta-V requirement for landing, with another 90s of hover time (140m/s delta-V) from the secondary propulsion, the Centaur based one-way cargo lander could land over 29mT.

The big difference in this situation is that the Centaur lander isn&#039;t doing the LOI for that big of a payload, and it starts in lunar orbit with a full tank of propellant.   That payload would either need to be delivered in smaller pieces using smaller Centaur based transfer stage, or would need a Wide Body Centaur/ACES or EDS-based transfer stage to deliver it to lunar orbit.

If you could tank up the LSAM in lunar orbit, it could deliver a much bigger payload.   But that&#039;s kind of my whole point with this article--having a lunar propellant depot gives you far more flexibility and capability than an HLV only non=depot solution.

~Jon</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Will,<br />
The numbers I&#8217;ve been able to find for the LSAM indicate that the LOI burn is about 1100m/s, and the descent orbit insertion/descent/landing delta-V is about 1900m/s.  That would indicate (using 451s again for the Isp) a mass ratio of about 1.97.  That means that of the 55mT, only 27.9mT actually make it to the surface, and of that only 20.5mT is actually cargo.  </p>
<p>If you use a 1900m/s base delta-V requirement for landing, with another 90s of hover time (140m/s delta-V) from the secondary propulsion, the Centaur based one-way cargo lander could land over 29mT.</p>
<p>The big difference in this situation is that the Centaur lander isn&#8217;t doing the LOI for that big of a payload, and it starts in lunar orbit with a full tank of propellant.   That payload would either need to be delivered in smaller pieces using smaller Centaur based transfer stage, or would need a Wide Body Centaur/ACES or EDS-based transfer stage to deliver it to lunar orbit.</p>
<p>If you could tank up the LSAM in lunar orbit, it could deliver a much bigger payload.   But that&#8217;s kind of my whole point with this article&#8211;having a lunar propellant depot gives you far more flexibility and capability than an HLV only non=depot solution.</p>
<p>~Jon</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Will McLean</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/comment-page-1/#comment-3856</link>
		<dc:creator>Will McLean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Dec 2008 23:07:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=841#comment-3856</guid>
		<description>Jon: 
Apples to apples, by all means. The latest figure I&#039;ve been able to find on the ESAS descent stage is 7.4 mT dry mass, not including payload, and 55 mT at TLI for the cargo version. What does that give you for payload to the surface and total mass in LLO? (I&#039;m guessing about 19 and 45)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jon:<br />
Apples to apples, by all means. The latest figure I&#8217;ve been able to find on the ESAS descent stage is 7.4 mT dry mass, not including payload, and 55 mT at TLI for the cargo version. What does that give you for payload to the surface and total mass in LLO? (I&#8217;m guessing about 19 and 45)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Jonathan Goff</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/comment-page-1/#comment-3855</link>
		<dc:creator>Jonathan Goff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Dec 2008 16:33:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=841#comment-3855</guid>
		<description>Will,
I have the spreadsheet at home, I&#039;ll upload it tonight if I get a chance.  But basically, I just plugged in the 2.8mT (for 3 RL-10 engines) centaur weight, 21mT centaur propellant, .8mT EDMK, 5mT LLK with 5mT of LLK propellant, and an overall delta-V of 2250m/s, which is worse than 5 sigma past the mean used for the Apollo landers.  I&#039;m sure if you make the reserve requirement high enough, and add enough weight penalties you can make it look a *little* worse than the ESAS LSAM.  What delta-V does the ESAS LSAM use though for descent?  Digging around on google they were actually using only ~1900m/s of Delta-V.  So, should we do an apples-to-apples comparison, or should we use the most pessimistic numbers for my concept and the most optimistic numbers for the ESAS LSAM?

~Jon</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Will,<br />
I have the spreadsheet at home, I&#8217;ll upload it tonight if I get a chance.  But basically, I just plugged in the 2.8mT (for 3 RL-10 engines) centaur weight, 21mT centaur propellant, .8mT EDMK, 5mT LLK with 5mT of LLK propellant, and an overall delta-V of 2250m/s, which is worse than 5 sigma past the mean used for the Apollo landers.  I&#8217;m sure if you make the reserve requirement high enough, and add enough weight penalties you can make it look a *little* worse than the ESAS LSAM.  What delta-V does the ESAS LSAM use though for descent?  Digging around on google they were actually using only ~1900m/s of Delta-V.  So, should we do an apples-to-apples comparison, or should we use the most pessimistic numbers for my concept and the most optimistic numbers for the ESAS LSAM?</p>
<p>~Jon</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Will McLean</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/comment-page-1/#comment-3853</link>
		<dc:creator>Will McLean</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Dec 2008 15:30:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=841#comment-3853</guid>
		<description>Jon:

Please show how you arrived at the 25 mT payload estimate.

Also, note that several sources give the theoretical deltaV of the Apollo descent stage as 2470 m/s, which suggests that they indeed wanted much larger reserves on a landing mission than a typical satellite launch.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jon:</p>
<p>Please show how you arrived at the 25 mT payload estimate.</p>
<p>Also, note that several sources give the theoretical deltaV of the Apollo descent stage as 2470 m/s, which suggests that they indeed wanted much larger reserves on a landing mission than a typical satellite launch.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Jonathan Goff</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/comment-page-1/#comment-3851</link>
		<dc:creator>Jonathan Goff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Dec 2008 05:27:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=841#comment-3851</guid>
		<description>Will,
I apologize if I&#039;ve been coming off kind of rude.   I still need to work on disagreeing without being obnoxious.  I still think I&#039;m right on this one, but that doesn&#039;t excuse rude behavior.

BTW, here&#039;s a good link on statistical numbers for the Apollo lunar landings:
http://www.retro.com/employees/gherbert/Space/LunMil2k/Lunar_DeltaV_PlusStats.html

~Jon</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Will,<br />
I apologize if I&#8217;ve been coming off kind of rude.   I still need to work on disagreeing without being obnoxious.  I still think I&#8217;m right on this one, but that doesn&#8217;t excuse rude behavior.</p>
<p>BTW, here&#8217;s a good link on statistical numbers for the Apollo lunar landings:<br />
<a href="http://www.retro.com/employees/gherbert/Space/LunMil2k/Lunar_DeltaV_PlusStats.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.retro.com/employees/gherbert/Space/LunMil2k/Lunar_DeltaV_PlusStats.html</a></p>
<p>~Jon</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Jonathan Goff</title>
		<link>http://selenianboondocks.com/2008/11/lunar-depot-enabled-multi-sortie-missions-part-ii-centaur-derived-landers/comment-page-1/#comment-3850</link>
		<dc:creator>Jonathan Goff</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Dec 2008 05:18:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://selenianboondocks.com/?p=841#comment-3850</guid>
		<description>Will,
Or maybe they were designing to different constraints?  By trying to fit the whole mission into something that could be launched by a Atlas V Heavy, they had to go with a smaller, less efficient Centaur tank.  By going with a full-sized Centaur tank, topped up in lunar orbit, you&#039;re totally changing the dynamics of the situation.

I went back and checked the numbers for the two landers, and it turns out that both of us were off.  If you run the numbers on Tables 1 and 2, you get both of them having a landing DV of about 2250m/s give or take.  Historically from the Apollo missions they used an average of 2050m/s for descent and landing.  That extra 200m/s provides over 2 full minutes worth of hover time.  While I could quibble with you on the need for that much hover time, rejiggering the numbers using the higher delta-V requirement *and* the heavier 3-RL10 lander (as per your suggestion) *and* the much bigger LMK (5x bigger because of 5x the landed mass), you still get over 25mT worth of cargo on the surface.

So, no the LM guys aren&#039;t stupid, and yes even if you make pessimistic assumptions a Centaur derived cargo lander could put about the same payload to the lunar surface as the Cargo LSAM.

~Jon</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Will,<br />
Or maybe they were designing to different constraints?  By trying to fit the whole mission into something that could be launched by a Atlas V Heavy, they had to go with a smaller, less efficient Centaur tank.  By going with a full-sized Centaur tank, topped up in lunar orbit, you&#8217;re totally changing the dynamics of the situation.</p>
<p>I went back and checked the numbers for the two landers, and it turns out that both of us were off.  If you run the numbers on Tables 1 and 2, you get both of them having a landing DV of about 2250m/s give or take.  Historically from the Apollo missions they used an average of 2050m/s for descent and landing.  That extra 200m/s provides over 2 full minutes worth of hover time.  While I could quibble with you on the need for that much hover time, rejiggering the numbers using the higher delta-V requirement *and* the heavier 3-RL10 lander (as per your suggestion) *and* the much bigger LMK (5x bigger because of 5x the landed mass), you still get over 25mT worth of cargo on the surface.</p>
<p>So, no the LM guys aren&#8217;t stupid, and yes even if you make pessimistic assumptions a Centaur derived cargo lander could put about the same payload to the lunar surface as the Cargo LSAM.</p>
<p>~Jon</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>

